Material Extraction Projections

MERCOSUR-EU Trade Agreement — Scenario Explorer
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The MERCOSUR-EU trade agreement is expected to reduce tariffs on goods between South America and Europe. This dashboard projects how those tariff changes would affect material extraction — biomass, minerals, metals, and fossil fuels — across 31 countries and 4 material categories, using a Non-negative Tensor Factorisation (NTF) of the GLORIA multi-regional input-output database (1990–2022 observed; projections to 2034). MERCOSUR extracts ~6,100 Mt/yr versus ~5,500 Mt/yr for the EU-27. Adjust the controls below to explore alternative scenarios.
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MERCOSUR total
extraction change
EU-27 total
extraction change
Largest impact
single country
Largest material
MFA category
Projected Impact by Country ?
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MERCOSUR — Total Extraction ?
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EU-27 — Total Extraction ?
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Extraction Patterns — Component Projections ?
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Impact by Material Category ?
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